Author Archive
Weekly Propagation Summary – 2020 Jul 20 16:10 UTC
Here is this week’s space weather and geophysical report, issued 2020 Jul 20 0242 UTC.
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 13 – 19 July 2020
Solar activity was very low throughout the period. No active regions with sunspots were observed over the past week. The passage of a slow-moving CME from 08 Jul was observed on 13-14 Jul. Near the end of the period, a faint, slow-moving CME was observed off the western limb in STEREO-A imagery beginning at around 19/0524 UTC. Analysis of this event remains underway at the time of this writing.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal-to-moderate levels throughout the period.
Geomagnetic field activity reached active levels between 13/0000-0900 UTC due to a combination of positive polarity CH HSS and CME (08 Jul) effects. Quiet to unsettled conditions were observed on 13 Jul. Quiet conditions were observed throughout the remainder of the period.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 20 July – 15 August 2020
Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be normal-to-moderate throughout the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 23-24 Jul and 31 Jul-01 Aug. Quiet conditions are expected to prevail throughout the rest of the period.
Don’t forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com/
Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/
If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users: 1. https://Twitter.com/NW7US 2. https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Be sure to subscribe to our space weather and propagation email group, on Groups.io
https://groups.io/g/propagation-and-space-weather
Spread the word!
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Links of interest:
+ Amazon space weather books: http://g.nw7us.us/fbssw-aSWSC
+ https://Twitter.com/NW7US
+ https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
Space Weather and Ham Radio YouTube Channel News:
I am working on launching a YouTube channel overhaul, that includes series of videos about space weather, radio signal propagation, and more.
Additionally, I am working on improving the educational efforts via the email, Facebook, YouTube, Tumblr, and other activities.
You can help!
Please consider becoming a Patron of these space weather and radio communications services, beginning with the YouTube channel:
https://www.patreon.com/NW7US
The YouTube channel:
https://YouTube.com/NW7US
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Weekly Propagation Summary – 2020 Jul 13 16:10 UTC
Here is this week’s space weather and geophysical report, issued 2020 Jul 13 0246 UTC.
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 06 – 12 July 2020
Solar activity was very low throughout the summary period. Region 2766 (N05, L=122, class/area Bxo/010 on 10 Jul) was the only spotted region and decayed to plage by 11 Jul.
A filament eruption near S29W18 produced a faint, slow-moving CME signature in LASCO/SOHO C2 imagery beginning at 09/0724 UTC. Analysis and modeling of the event suggested a possible glancing blow from the CME around 14 Jul.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels throughout the summary period.
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet. No significant periods of southward Bz were observed.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 13 July – 08 August 2020
Solar activity is expected to be very low over the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to active levels. Unsettled conditions are likely on 13 Jul and 31 Jul – 01 Aug in response to coronal hole influence. Active conditions are likely on 14 Jul due to the anticipated arrival of a slow-moving transient that left the Sun on 09 Jul. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at quiet levels under a nominal solar wind environment.
Don’t forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com/
Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/
If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users: 1. https://Twitter.com/NW7US 2. https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Be sure to subscribe to our space weather and propagation email group, on Groups.io
https://groups.io/g/propagation-and-space-weather
Spread the word!
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Links of interest:
+ Amazon space weather books: http://g.nw7us.us/fbssw-aSWSC
+ https://Twitter.com/NW7US
+ https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
Space Weather and Ham Radio YouTube Channel News:
I am working on launching a YouTube channel overhaul, that includes series of videos about space weather, radio signal propagation, and more.
Additionally, I am working on improving the educational efforts via the email, Facebook, YouTube, Tumblr, and other activities.
You can help!
Please consider becoming a Patron of these space weather and radio communications services, beginning with the YouTube channel:
https://www.patreon.com/NW7US
The YouTube channel:
https://YouTube.com/NW7US
..
Weekly Propagation Summary – 2020 Jul 06 16:10 UTC
Here is this week’s space weather and geophysical report, issued 2020 Jul 06 0150 UTC.
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 29 June – 05 July 2020
Solar activity was very low. Region 2766 (N06 L=117, class/area Bxo/beta on 04 Jul) was the only active region on the visible disk. The region was in decay at the end of the reporting period.
Other activity included a DFS, approximately 18 degrees in length, which erupted in the SE quadrant beginning around 05/0630 UTC. Subsequent SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery showed the related CME signature after 05/1412 UTC. Analysis for an Earth-directed component is ongoing.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal background to moderate levels.
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to unsettled. Unsettled levels were observed on 01 Jul due to sustained southward Bz and on 04-05 Jul in response to a positive polarity CH HSS. The remainder of the summary period was at quiet levels under nominal solar wind conditions.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 06 July – 01 August 2020
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be normal background to moderate levels throughout the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. A recurrent positive polarity CH HSS is expected to cause isolated unsettled levels on 06 Jul and again on 31 Jul – 01 Aug. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at quiet levels. Analysis and modeling of the 5 Jul CME is not complete and the presence of an Earth-directed component is possible.
Don’t forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com/
Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/
If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users: 1. https://Twitter.com/NW7US 2. https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Be sure to subscribe to our space weather and propagation email group, on Groups.io
https://groups.io/g/propagation-and-space-weather
Spread the word!
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Links of interest:
+ Amazon space weather books: http://g.nw7us.us/fbssw-aSWSC
+ https://Twitter.com/NW7US
+ https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
Space Weather and Ham Radio YouTube Channel News:
I am working on launching a YouTube channel overhaul, that includes series of videos about space weather, radio signal propagation, and more.
Additionally, I am working on improving the educational efforts via the email, Facebook, YouTube, Tumblr, and other activities.
You can help!
Please consider becoming a Patron of these space weather and radio communications services, beginning with the YouTube channel:
https://www.patreon.com/NW7US
The YouTube channel:
https://YouTube.com/NW7US
..
Weekly Propagation Summary – 2020 Jun 29 16:10 UTC
Here is this week’s space weather and geophysical report, issued 2020 Jun 22 0212 UTC.
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 15 – 21 June 2020
Solar activity was very low throughout the reporting period. Region 2765 (S24, L=116, class/area Cao/beta on 05 Jun) was quiet and stable as it rotated around the W limb on 15 Jun.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at background levels throughout the reporting period.
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet under a mostly nominal solar wind environment.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 22 June – 18 July 2020
Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels throughout the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to unsettled. Unsettled levels are likely on 04 Jul in response to a SSBC and again on 06-07 Jul due to influence from coronal hole influence. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to persist at quiet levels.
Don’t forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com/
Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/
If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users: 1. https://Twitter.com/NW7US 2. https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Be sure to subscribe to our space weather and propagation email group, on Groups.io
https://groups.io/g/propagation-and-space-weather
Spread the word!
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Links of interest:
+ Amazon space weather books: http://g.nw7us.us/fbssw-aSWSC
+ https://Twitter.com/NW7US
+ https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
Space Weather and Ham Radio YouTube Channel News:
I am working on launching a YouTube channel overhaul, that includes series of videos about space weather, radio signal propagation, and more.
Additionally, I am working on improving the educational efforts via the email, Facebook, YouTube, Tumblr, and other activities.
You can help!
Please consider becoming a Patron of these space weather and radio communications services, beginning with the YouTube channel:
https://www.patreon.com/NW7US
The YouTube channel:
https://YouTube.com/NW7US
..
Weekly Propagation Summary – 2020 Jun 22 16:10 UTC
Here is this week’s space weather and geophysical report, issued 2020 Jun 22 0212 UTC.
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 15 – 21 June 2020
Solar activity was very low throughout the reporting period. Region 2765 (S24, L=116, class/area Cao/beta on 05 Jun) was quiet and stable as it rotated around the W limb on 15 Jun.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at background levels throughout the reporting period.
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet under a mostly nominal solar wind environment.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 22 June – 18 July 2020
Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels throughout the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to unsettled. Unsettled levels are likely on 04 Jul in response to a SSBC and again on 06-07 Jul due to influence from coronal hole influence. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to persist at quiet levels.
Don’t forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com/
Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/
If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users: 1. https://Twitter.com/NW7US 2. https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Be sure to subscribe to our space weather and propagation email group, on Groups.io
https://groups.io/g/propagation-and-space-weather
Spread the word!
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Links of interest:
+ Amazon space weather books: http://g.nw7us.us/fbssw-aSWSC
+ https://Twitter.com/NW7US
+ https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
Space Weather and Ham Radio YouTube Channel News:
I am working on launching a YouTube channel overhaul, that includes series of videos about space weather, radio signal propagation, and more.
Additionally, I am working on improving the educational efforts via the email, Facebook, YouTube, Tumblr, and other activities.
You can help!
Please consider becoming a Patron of these space weather and radio communications services, beginning with the YouTube channel:
https://www.patreon.com/NW7US
The YouTube channel:
https://YouTube.com/NW7US
..
Weekly Propagation Summary – 2020 Jun 15 16:10 UTC
Here is this week’s space weather and geophysical report, issued 2020 Jun 15 0042 UTC.
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 08 – 14 June 2020
Solar activity was at very low levels throughout the period. Region 2765 (S24, L=116, class/area Cao/130 on 05 Jun) produced a B1 flare at 09/0311 UTC but was otherwise stable and unremarkable. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available imagery.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached moderate levels throughout the reporting period.
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels with isolated unsettled intervals on 09-10 June due to CH HSS influence.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 15 June – 11 July 2020
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels with unsettled conditions likely on 16-18 June and 04, 06-07 July due to recurrent CH HSS influence.
Don’t forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com/
Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/
If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users: 1. https://Twitter.com/NW7US 2. https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Be sure to subscribe to our space weather and propagation email group, on Groups.io
https://groups.io/g/propagation-and-space-weather
Spread the word!
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Links of interest:
+ Amazon space weather books: http://g.nw7us.us/fbssw-aSWSC
+ https://Twitter.com/NW7US
+ https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
Space Weather and Ham Radio YouTube Channel News:
I am working on launching a YouTube channel overhaul, that includes series of videos about space weather, radio signal propagation, and more.
Additionally, I am working on improving the educational efforts via the email, Facebook, YouTube, Tumblr, and other activities.
You can help!
Please consider becoming a Patron of these space weather and radio communications services, beginning with the YouTube channel:
https://www.patreon.com/NW7US
The YouTube channel:
https://YouTube.com/NW7US
..
Weekly Propagation Summary – 2020 Jun 08 16:10 UTC
Here is this week’s space weather and geophysical report, issued 2020 Jun 08 0136 UTC.
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 01 – 07 June 2020
Solar activity was at very low levels with numerous B-class flares observed from new Region 2765 (S24, L=116, class/area Cao/130 on 05 Jun). This reverse polarity region was mostly stable since it rotated onto the disk on 03 Jun. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the period.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels through the period.
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels, with some isolated unsettled periods late on 01 Jun through early 02 Jun. A nominal solar wind environment was prevalent with wind speeds ranging from 300-400 km/s, total field (Bt) 5 nT or less and the Bz component mostly neutral.
Solar wind parameters became enhanced after midday on 07 Jun. Wind speeds increased to near 475 km/s, Bt reached a maximum of 13 nT and Bz reached a maximum southward extent of -8 nT. A suspected weak, positive polarity CH HSS resulted in this enhanced wind environment. The geomagnetic field reacted with unsettled to active conditions the last half of 07 Jun.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 08 June – 04 July 2020
Solar activity is expected to be at mostly very low levels. A slight chance of low level activity exists through 15 Jun while Region 2765 remains on the visible disk. Very low levels will then persist through 28 Jun. Old Region 2765 (S24, L=116) is expected to return after 28 Jun with a possible increase in low level flare activity to a slight chance.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels through the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to isolated active levels on 08 Jun due to influence from a weak, positive polarity CH HSS. From 09 Jun to 04 Jul, mostly quiet levels are anticipated.
Don’t forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com/
Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/
If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users: 1. https://Twitter.com/NW7US 2. https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Be sure to subscribe to our space weather and propagation email group, on Groups.io
https://groups.io/g/propagation-and-space-weather
Spread the word!
– – – – – – – – – – – – –
Links of interest:
+ Amazon space weather books: http://g.nw7us.us/fbssw-aSWSC
+ https://Twitter.com/NW7US
+ https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx
Space Weather and Ham Radio YouTube Channel News:
I am working on launching a YouTube channel overhaul, that includes series of videos about space weather, radio signal propagation, and more.
Additionally, I am working on improving the educational efforts via the email, Facebook, YouTube, Tumblr, and other activities.
You can help!
Please consider becoming a Patron of these space weather and radio communications services, beginning with the YouTube channel:
https://www.patreon.com/NW7US
The YouTube channel:
https://YouTube.com/NW7US
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