Latest SWPC 3-day Space Weather Forecast

5 January 2013

The winter drought subsides and the sun is on fire! The current sunspot count is 167 with an SFI at 145 while the A-index is 3 and K is zero.

How come the RTTY enthusiast gets all the sunspots? Enjoy.

Latest SWPC 3-day Space Weather Forecast: Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 5 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jan 2013

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 05/0931Z from Region 1652 (N20E74). There are currently 14 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (06 Jan, 07 Jan, 08 Jan). 

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 361 km/s at 04/2209Z. Total IMF reached 5.2 nT at 05/1138Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3.5 nT at 04/2306Z.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet on day 1 (06 Jan). Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on days 2-3 (07 Jan, 08 Jan).

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